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Religion > Buddhism II > Re: information...
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Re: information cascades

by pseudomodo <sinohegemon@[EMAIL PROTECTED] > May 5, 2008 at 10:41 PM

Renli wrote:
> On May 6, 1:09 am, pseudomodo <sinohege...@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> wrote:
>> OMG. We agree.
>>
>> We'll soil the nest for a while longer yet until tech brings us both
>> fusion & high efficiency levels. Fusion will take longer, but the tech
>> is starting to line up in its favor. Techs just being developed now
will
>> lead to big efficiency gains in 15 years.
>>
>> Obama's & Hillary's goal of 80% reduction in emissions by 2050 would
>> either require BTU/capita falling to pre-19th century levels OR
reducing
>> carbon emissions by going largely all-nuke and all-electric.
>>
>> Check out the firefly & supercapacitor battery techs. The 'burbs are
>> there, and there to stay. Parts of them will also become more compact
as
>> the cities also fill back in, but if people can afford it they will
find
>> a way to continue to pay for the basis of their lifestyles.
> 
> 
> Well first of all, the burbs are not there to stay, in fact the major
> crisis of 2007 and on will be the death of the burbs. The burbs are
> going to hell, my friend.

Yeh. People will just up & leave their McMansions, yadda yadda.

Heard it all before.

> 
> Secondly, the new president 

Bwaaahahahaahaaaaah!

You mean the self-loathing white guy?

> is saying 80% by 2050 because that is what
> WILL happen ANYWAYS since we're about to go all electric in about 5-10
> years as a response to $10 a gallon and up.

LOL. Yeh, all-electric, 5 - 10 years. Cool.

Tell me something, Oliver, do you have any notion what would happen to 
gasoline prices if 90% of the US car fleet went all-electric?

Guess.

The answer is: Gas prices would fall from reduced overall demand 
(including electric power plant load).

The trend, OTOH, is going to be a gradual one, not an oil shock.

Gas will stabilize in the next year or two at about $4.00/gallon. 
Discounting for inflation, that's still below the oil-shock prices of 
the 1970's.

> Jeez, don't you listen to goldradio.fm? :)

Following financial advice pages like that one is like listening to 
bookies trying to fix their books by promoting long odds. These guys are 
selling anxiety and hyping a longer bear market so they can keep their 
short margin calls in play.

/leebert
 




 12 Posts in Topic:
information cascades
pseudomodo <sinohegemo  2008-05-05 10:51:11 
Re: information cascades
Renli <oliver.richman@  2008-05-05 09:15:00 
Re: information cascades
Renli <oliver.richman@  2008-05-05 09:19:19 
Re: information cascades
pseudomodo <sinohegemo  2008-05-05 11:48:49 
Re: information cascades
pseudomodo <sinohegemo  2008-05-05 11:48:12 
Re: information cascades
Keynes <Keynes@[EMAIL   2008-05-05 11:58:25 
Re: information cascades
pseudomodo <sinohegemo  2008-05-05 12:09:21 
Re: information cascades
Renli <oliver.richman@  2008-05-05 18:47:30 
Re: information cascades
pseudomodo <sinohegemo  2008-05-05 22:41:21 
Re: information cascades
Renli <oliver.richman@  2008-05-05 21:50:37 
Re: information cascades
trinlay <trin1066@[EMA  2008-05-06 14:16:18 
Re: information cascades
"possum" <ze  2008-05-06 05:07:12 

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tan13V112 Sun Jul 6 17:04:18 CDT 2008.